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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53eCc53E7BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (317–471, n=788)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$17K$11.0M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #541PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)64% (72 of 113 open)no open consensus position64% (37 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=65———
Settled positions, side won36% of 817 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢55% (won 7% of 448)10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 106)36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 63% of 121)35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 97% of 142)19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53eCc53E7BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $134Yes $29——