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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x53eCc53E7 | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (317–471, n=788) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $4.1M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #541 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (9 of 18 open) | 75% (27 of 36 open) | 49% (18 of 37 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=65 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 36% of 817 at avg 33¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 7% of 448) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 44% of 106) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 63% of 121) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 97% of 142) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x53eCc53E7 | ndb1 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | Yes $304 | Yes $5 | — | — |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | No $46 | No $5 | — | — |