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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)57% (1091–818, n=1909)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$87K$3.3M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #718PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (23 of 34 open)no open consensus position73% (155 of 211 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 37% of 155)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)14% (won 75% of 214)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)47% (won 97% of 694)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.