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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 38% (1487–2470, n=3957) | 65% (882–468, n=1350) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $31K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #143 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 64% (30 of 47 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $14K | No $1.5K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $12K | No $219 | — |