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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankprimmVenusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)50% (1013–1015, n=2028)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$39K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #47PM monthly #399
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (25 of 31 open)no open consensus position54% (15 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 618 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 100% of 38)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 412)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)50% (won 99% of 503)19% (won 100% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 47)59% (won 100% of 362)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.