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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpprimmVictorLudorum
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6461–6057, n=12518)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)51% (5050–4898, n=9948)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$3.6M$99K
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #53PM monthly #174
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (124 of 172 open)no open consensus position91% (77 of 85 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Mentions −3 pts, n=1045
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%60% of 5536 at avg 61¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)35% (won 2% of 1920)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)3% (won 34% of 187)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)4% (won 59% of 232)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)58% (won 97% of 3197)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.