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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | HomeRunHazard | kaxel78 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 55% (201–167, n=368) | no settled market | 66% (480–245, n=725) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $227K | -$1 | -$155K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #47 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (59 of 86 open) | 91% (172 of 188 open) | 73% (8 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | Economy −2 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 78% of 94 at avg 79¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 0% of 19) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 3% (won 33% of 3) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 76% (won 100% of 71) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | HomeRunHazard | kaxel78 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 137.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $646 | — | Under $68 |