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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | LightParadox | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 50% (209–207, n=416) | 63% (19–11, n=30) | 66% (479–242, n=721) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$620 | $22K | -$146K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #265 | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 52% (16 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 73 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 100% of 4) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 56% (won 100% of 41) | 35% (won 100% of 7) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 19% (won 100% of 14) | 55% (won 100% of 11) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 14) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | LightParadox | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal same side · consensus Sumit Nagal | — | Sumit Nagal $2.2K | — | Sumit Nagal $3.0K |