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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241LimousinRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)56% (700–539, n=1239)47% (14329–15967, n=30296)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$39K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #145PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (66 of 124 open)56% (22 of 39 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NBA +46 pts n=89, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=266, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +26 pts n=18, ROI +36%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%100% of 405 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)7% (won 100% of 27)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 100% of 84)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)20% (won 100% of 80)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)53% (won 100% of 214)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241LimousinRN1sainttroplay
Rolex Paris Masters: Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini
—Brandon Nakashima $2.6KMatteo Berrettini $27K—
W50 Heraklion: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Charo Esquiva Banuls
opposite sides · consensus Charo Esquiva Banuls
—Charo Esquiva Banuls $12Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas $19—
Taranto: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Kilian Feldbausch $452Kilian Feldbausch $14K—
Taranto: Florent Bax vs Gianluca Cadenasso
same side · consensus Gianluca Cadenasso
—Gianluca Cadenasso $1.1KGianluca Cadenasso $3.0K—
Taranto: Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller
same side · consensus Hugo Grenier
—Hugo Grenier $1.6KHugo Grenier $1.6K—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Maayan Laron
same side · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $112Justina Mikulskyte $1.6K—