Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4Hyperlongndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market47% (216–246, n=462)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL——-$63K$4.2M
Tracked as——was PM monthly #998PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (51 of 79 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Crypto −7 pts, n=83NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won——47% of 595 at avg 48¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢——44% (won 2% of 260)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢——6% (won 34% of 38)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢——8% (won 54% of 46)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up——42% (won 93% of 251)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4Hyperlongndb1
Will Illinois win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.2KNo $164
Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $206
Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
same side · consensus No
——No $315No $220