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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241cryingbabydicer87ndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)44% (6527–8232, n=14759)66% (875–457, n=1332)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$19K$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #699PM monthly #22was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (153 of 179 open)72% (91 of 127 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=3988NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%49% of 4313 at avg 51¢, ROI 0%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)42% (won 8% of 1831)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)14% (won 39% of 590)20% (won 39% of 252)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)8% (won 72% of 363)24% (won 57% of 306)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)35% (won 96% of 1529)43% (won 93% of 540)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241cryingbabydicer87ndb1sainttroplay
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13No $83K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $50Yes $2.9M—
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $19No $42K—
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $10No $31K—
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $11No $30K—
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $29No $29K—
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $15No $25K—
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $19No $20K—
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $2No $12K—
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $26Yes $2.3K—
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $29No $675—