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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | god83743894 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 33% (3360–6935, n=10295) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$29K | $5.6M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #303 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 79% (209 of 263 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (25 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −7 pts, n=4652 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 29% of 7204 at avg 34¢, ROI −5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 68% (won 1% of 4909) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 2% (won 38% of 146) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 3% (won 54% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 27% (won 96% of 1948) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | god83743894 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $6 | — | Yes $501K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | — | Yes $8 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $254 | — | No $1.5M |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $104 | — | No $7.4K |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1 | — | No $161 |