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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (820–763, n=1583) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $5.6M | $88K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #520 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 48% (27 of 56 open) | 60% (109 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 498 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 100% of 35) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 101) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 17% (won 100% of 86) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 100% of 276) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon | — | — | Lautaro Midon $1.8K | Tomas Barrios $16K |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $56 | Yes $5.3K |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $1.2K | Solana Sierra $476 |
| Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $138 | No $765 |
| Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2 | No $352 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $13 | Over $132 |
| Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $39 | Yes $10 |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $984 | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate same side · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate | — | — | Carlos Maria Zarate $4.8K | Carlos Maria Zarate $3.7K |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.9K | Bianca Andreescu $3.2K |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | No $3.0K |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $786 | Under $444 |
| Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) same side · consensus CR Flamengo | — | — | Grêmio FBPA $285 | Grêmio FBPA $89 |
| CR Flamengo leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $32 | No $72 |