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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1primmVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)27% (295–813, n=1108)
Consensus PnL—$3.2M$3.6M$34K
Tracked as—PM monthly #104PM monthly #46PM monthly #120
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (106 of 155 open)no open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)52% (won 3% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)7% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)35% (won 95% of 172)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.