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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1806–1014, n=2820) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$163K | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #905 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 62% (77 of 125 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 2142 at avg 77¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 49% of 207) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 82% of 148) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 90% of 202) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 99% of 1585) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $1.9K | No $528 | — |