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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL—$5.8M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #963was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)86% (134 of 156 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −4 pts, n=45NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won1% of 88 at avg 5¢, ROI +8%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢98% (won 1% of 86)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 0% of 2)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢0%54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up0%14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.