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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179beachboy4BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)28% (240–632, n=872)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)66% (875–459, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$3.5K$6.1M$11.0M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #62was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)100% (1 of 1 open)75% (83 of 110 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicMentions −4 pts, n=56NBA −6 pts, n=93—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won2% of 182 at avg 7¢, ROI +4%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢97% (won 2% of 176)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 79% of 58)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 0% of 5)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 200)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢0%54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 194)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179beachboy4BreakTheBankndb1
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $55KYes $12K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $77KNo $1.5M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $187KYes $1.3M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.4KNo $1.4M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $265KYes $544K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $295KNo $73K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $29—No $239K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $43KYes $14K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $52KNo $831
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $185KYes $2.9M
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6—Yes $81K—
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $76K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.5KNo $7.0K
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $125No $3.2K