← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 25% (97–285, n=382) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | -$611 | $5.8M | $11.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #963 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | 57% (27 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −4 pts, n=45 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 1% of 88 at avg 5¢, ROI +8% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 1% of 86) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | No $909K | — |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | — | — | No $92 |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $55K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $49K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $8 | — | — | No $1.4K |