← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (236–662, n=898) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 50% (1034–1039, n=2073) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5K | $5.9M | $11.0M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #64 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (160 of 188 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −4 pts, n=56 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 2% of 182 at avg 7¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 97% (won 2% of 176) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 0% of 5) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32 | — | No $230K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | Yes $88K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | Yes $68K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | Yes $51K | — |