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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 25% (7–21, n=28) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) |
| Consensus PnL | -$556 | $7.9M | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #777 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 14% (1 of 7 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 68% (60 of 88 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 2 at avg 42¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |