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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)25% (7–21, n=28)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)
Consensus PnL-$555—$7.9M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #777—PM monthly #3PM monthly #23
Sides with the consensus14% (1 of 7 open)no open consensus position86% (24 of 28 open)69% (283 of 410 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 42¢, ROI 0%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢0%—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢0%—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 1)—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.