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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938beachboy4CORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)39% (1382–2135, n=3517)68% (43–20, n=63)61% (395–248, n=643)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL-$60K$5.8M$194K$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #161was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus62% (283 of 457 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Economy +8 pts n=32, ROI −19%
  • F1 +7 pts n=10, ROI −3%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −3 pts, n=358NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won38% of 1384 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 3% of 385)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 43% of 743)30% (won 57% of 63)56% (won 99% of 223)0%
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 52% of 105)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 95% of 151)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.