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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283BreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)54% (314–266, n=580)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL-$188K$7.9M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #818PM monthly #3PM monthly #104PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)81% (25 of 31 open)69% (61 of 88 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=124—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won49% of 436 at avg 49¢, ROI −5%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 16% of 64)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 51% of 137)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 54% of 196)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 74% of 39)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283BreakTheBankndb1primm
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1Yes $1.0M—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—