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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)69% (1262–557, n=1819)45% (572–710, n=1282)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$69K$7.9M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #792PM monthly #2PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (28 of 36 open)56% (45 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won98% of 1286 at avg 77¢, ROI +29%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 83% of 24)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 97% of 99)35% (won 98% of 204)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 97% of 237)35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up72% (won 99% of 926)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945BreakTheBankRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $265KJaguars $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $175KJaguars $1.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $601Jaguars $3.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.3KJaguars $174
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KWarriors $510
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $287Ravens $2.8K