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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (294–499, n=793) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $58K | $11.0M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (17 of 25 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=206 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1297 at avg 63¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 2% of 445) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 56% of 25) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 72% of 39) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 99% of 788) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $421 | Yes $31K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $138 | No $30K | — |