Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69BreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (988–572, n=1560)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #104PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (26 of 34 open)76% (100 of 132 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69BreakTheBankndb1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $278KYes $11K—