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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554 | sainttroplay | RN1 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (3017–2428, n=5445) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 52% (273–252, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | -$45K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis ±0 pts, n=2034 | — | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 4901 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 651) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 40% of 1371) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 61% of 1640) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 84% of 1239) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554 | sainttroplay | RN1 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat opposite sides · consensus Jan Kumstat | Joel Schwaerzler $13 | — | Jan Kumstat $9.7K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker opposite sides · consensus Michal Krajci | Niels Visker $68 | — | Michal Krajci $270 | — |