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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7750cdd6207bda401911ad3657253af46491a3f3BreakTheBankFlaznorprobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)75% (594–196, n=790)63% (12–7, n=19)
Consensus PnL—$779K$19K$251K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #13PM monthly #20 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position29% (2 of 7 open)66% (133 of 202 open)64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7750cdd6207bda401911ad3657253af46491a3f3BreakTheBankFlaznorprobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Heat vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $5.3KJazz $57K
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——76ers $862Celtics $42K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
——Magic $248Kings $591