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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7986576408b65a9805AC85553Be33Ad0B044BAa5-1781719173927primmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (9–3, n=12)67% (4–2, n=6)
Consensus PnL-$3.1K$84K-$82K
Tracked asPM monthly #430PM monthly #40PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicEsports ±0 pts, n=253—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won50% of 294 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 20% of 76)5% (won 95% of 59)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 35% of 95)40% (won 99% of 512)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 67% of 63)50% (won 100% of 633)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 95% of 60)5% (won 100% of 65)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.