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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankgoogleplayrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)60% (12–8, n=20)40% (2–3, n=5)63% (12–7, n=19)
Consensus PnL$730$779K$391K$251K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #17PM monthly #20 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)50% (8 of 16 open)0% (0 of 2 open)64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)0%11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 70% of 10)33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)76% (won 85% of 41)44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)6% (won 100% of 3)11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankgoogleplayrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $1.4K—Suns $91K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $63K—Suns $28K
Celtics vs. 76ers
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $144K—Celtics $238K
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $228—Celtics $65K