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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8cBbF4e3d2D0b6Fb7b684cF1f5EE12d79dFCE8A8-1772503424879RN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)47% (93–104, n=197)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)61% (395–248, n=643)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$13K$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #982PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position90% (148 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won82% of 114 at avg 49¢, ROI +36%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 20% of 10)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 85% of 41)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 89% of 62)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.