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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10ndb1RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)39% (1269–1981, n=3250)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$53K$4.1M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975PM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)74% (28 of 38 open)59% (53 of 90 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won37% of 2119 at avg 37¢, ROI 0%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 17% of 1023)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 39% of 536)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 60% of 345)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 86% of 215)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10ndb1RN1sainttroplay
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $57—No $17K—
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $336—No $13K—
Will Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $140—No $33—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $18—No $3.3K—