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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fbeachboy4BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)12% (584–4136, n=4720)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL-$97K—$9.4M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #242—PM monthly #2PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus51% (131 of 256 open)no open consensus position55% (11 of 20 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +2 pts n=30, ROI 0%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicEntertainment −9 pts, n=171——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won24% of 2649 at avg 28¢, ROI 0%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢68% (won 2% of 1799)—11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 36% of 148)—35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 52% of 187)—35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 86% of 515)—20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fbeachboy4BreakTheBankndb1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $192——Yes $62K
Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
same side · consensus No
No $40——No $220