← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (529–3674, n=4203) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$85K | $5.9M | $11.2M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #238 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (59 of 119 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 66% (72 of 109 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −9 pts, n=164 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 24% of 2478 at avg 28¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 2% of 1667) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 36% of 143) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 51% of 179) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 85% of 489) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $9 | — | No $125 | — |