Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fbeachboy4CORGIIndb1
Record (consensus markets)12% (563–3999, n=4562)no settled market61% (399–251, n=650)65% (885–467, n=1352)
Consensus PnL-$87K—$216K$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #237—PM monthly #74PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus46% (79 of 170 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)82% (28 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +2 pts n=30, ROI 0%
not computed yet
Weakest topicEntertainment −9 pts, n=171——NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won24% of 2552 at avg 28¢, ROI 0%—99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢68% (won 2% of 1724)—9% (won 92% of 36)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 36% of 146)—56% (won 99% of 224)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 52% of 182)—33% (won 100% of 134)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 86% of 500)—2% (won 100% of 7)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468Fbeachboy4CORGIIndb1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $217——Yes $63K
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
same side · consensus No
No $26——No $51