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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (922–6151, n=7073) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | -$58 | $6.1M | $11.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #926 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (6 of 24 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 70% (79 of 113 open) | 59% (44 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=518 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 13% of 3681 at avg 14¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 82% (won 3% of 3028) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 35% of 288) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 64% of 189) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 83% of 176) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16 | — | — | No $27 |