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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (7948–9685, n=17633)45% (542–652, n=1194)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL-$56K$11.0M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #790PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus49% (26 of 53 open)87% (143 of 165 open)no open consensus position56% (27 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won46% of 13139 at avg 45¢, ROI 0%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 16% of 3994)10% (won 82% of 56)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 42% of 4476)36% (won 98% of 198)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 60% of 1929)35% (won 99% of 191)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 87% of 2740)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Spread: HJK Helsinki (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus HJK Helsinki
Vaasan Palloseura $50——HJK Helsinki $2.3K
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $332——No $11K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $195——No $7.7K
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.8K——No $2.9K