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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (9251–11409, n=20660) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$83K | $6.1M | $11.0M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #790 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (27 of 50 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 52% (59 of 113 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 15225 at avg 44¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 16% of 4670) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 41% of 5147) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 60% of 2279) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 86% of 3129) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $11K | — | No $131K | — |