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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (2468–2430, n=4898)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)
Consensus PnL$502K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #60PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)90% (146 of 163 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=2324——
Settled positions, side won50% of 4391 at avg 50¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 12% of 482)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 38% of 1786)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 63% of 1537)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 83% of 586)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375BreakTheBankRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $16K—Ignacio Buse $42K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone $9.1K—Mariano Navone $3