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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375RN1beachboy4joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)50% (2471–2435, n=4906)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$502K$13.4M$5.8M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #60PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 4 open)94% (15 of 16 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=2324—NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won50% of 4391 at avg 50¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 12% of 482)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 38% of 1786)22% (won 94% of 5518)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 63% of 1537)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 83% of 586)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375RN1beachboy4joseph00677
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Mariano Navone $4.7KLuca Van Assche $1.4K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Rafael Jodar
Alejandro Tabilo $1.0KAlejandro Tabilo $59——