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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (2584–2567, n=5151)no settled market47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$329K—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #308—PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (21 of 38 open)no open consensus position61% (68 of 112 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=2340——
Settled positions, side won50% of 4600 at avg 50¢, ROI +1%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 13% of 528)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 38% of 1839)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 63% of 1605)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 83% of 628)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375beachboy4RN1
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $776—Lakers $3
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $28—Raptors $275
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $273—Under $28
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Trail Blazers $41—Suns $160
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $48—Raptors $130
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $6—Suns $6
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $308—Under $506
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $596—Spurs $183
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $10—Under $151
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $10—Over $130
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9—Over $85