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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8BreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)43% (87–114, n=201)46% (560–665, n=1225)65% (886–468, n=1354)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$25K$11.2M$4.2M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #2PM monthly #147PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)48% (10 of 21 open)74% (34 of 46 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −15 pts, n=44—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won42% of 181 at avg 45¢, ROI +6%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 9% of 44)10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 32% of 60)36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 60% of 48)35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 83% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.