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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xAA08417743cA4Ed010Ce0d27899b530E50faD98a-1772583788295BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)71% (300–125, n=425)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$83K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #830PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)73% (73 of 100 open)53% (58 of 109 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won75% of 464 at avg 73¢, ROI +4%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 11% of 9)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 36% of 33)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 59% of 152)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 90% of 270)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xAA08417743cA4Ed010Ce0d27899b530E50faD98a-1772583788295BreakTheBankRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Leonardo Storck Franca $604—Jose Pereira $129
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161