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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

0xAe81145A62f51cb1: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)65% (892–472, n=1364)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #97PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (13 of 25 open)78% (39 of 50 open)56% (100 of 178 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K—Pelicans $125
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $135
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $323—Pelicans $143
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357—Grizzlies $123