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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (990–573, n=1563)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #3PM monthly #105PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (30 of 43 open)82% (23 of 28 open)74% (82 of 111 open)63% (127 of 203 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $1.5K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702——Over $2.0K
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $180
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $8Yes $1.0M—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $112K——Taylor Fritz $38K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $16K——Filip Misolic $8.4K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $15K——Julia Riera $8.0K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $22K——Under $765
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
Carole Monnet $11K——Carole Monnet $6.1K
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $13K——Ferencvárosi TC $3.6K
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
same side · consensus AC Sparta Praha
AC Sparta Praha $10K——AC Sparta Praha $785
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.4K——Over $8.5K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $3.8K——Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.9K——Under $54
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $907——Under $39
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $120——Over $722
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137——GNK Dinamo Zagreb $146