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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xAe81145A62f51cb1ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (526–671, n=1197)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$31K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (16 of 26 open)72% (28 of 39 open)59% (39 of 66 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tech +3 pts n=490, ROI +1%
  • Economy +2 pts n=23, ROI −2%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −23 pts, n=15NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won44% of 990 at avg 43¢, ROI +1%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 3% of 498)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 39% of 51)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 65% of 66)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 375)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.