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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)98% (4294–107, n=4401)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)
Consensus PnL-$15K$8.4M$1.4M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #837PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (30 of 34 open)64% (104 of 162 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −6 pts, n=13—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won98% of 4309 at avg 97¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 7)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 31% of 16)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 53% of 36)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 99% of 4250)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425K—No $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $15KBills $77—