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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (3432–89, n=3521) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.0K | $9.4M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 57% (13 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (110 of 184 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −6 pts, n=13 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 3462 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 0% of 7) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 36% of 14) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 56% of 32) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 98% (won 99% of 3409) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $66 | — | Hawks $128 |