Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD67942cD1c1AF4287F80Fe5F11A01DB65Cf491A0-1767718931081RN1surfandturfbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)49% (199–204, n=403)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)54% (225–189, n=414)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$340$13.4M$9.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #883PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won98% of 154 at avg 54¢, ROI +43%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)—3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 97% of 71)22% (won 94% of 5518)—29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 98% of 63)36% (won 99% of 8928)—54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 18)32% (won 100% of 7821)—14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.