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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (1257–673, n=1930) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.6M | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #811 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (12 of 14 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (11 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −13 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1600 at avg 75¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 64% of 69) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 91% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 98% of 309) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 100% of 1120) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Eagles $3.6K |
| Senators vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Senators | Senators $791 | — | — | Ducks $657 |
| Taipei: Evan Zhu vs Yuta Shimizu opposite sides · consensus Yuta Shimizu | Yuta Shimizu $4 | — | — | Evan Zhu $320 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | — | Commanders $3.6K |